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surmise

/sɚˈmaɪz/ noun C2
  1. Thought, imagination, or conjecture, which may be based upon feeble or scanty evidence; suspicion; guess. (countable, uncountable) · surmises of jealousy or of envy· This opinion, however, is merely a surmise, which may or may not be the case.
  2. Reflection; thought; posit. (countable, uncountable)

Plural surmises

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They attacked him in various ways, with barefaced questions, ingenious suppositions, and distant surmises; but he eluded the skill of them all; and they were at last obliged to accept the second-hand intelligence of their neighbour, Lady Lucas.
Pride and Prejudice, p. 7 · B2
This part of his intelligence, though unheard by Lydia, was caught by Elizabeth; and, as it assured her that Darcy was not less answerable for Wickham’s absence than if her first surmise had been just, every feeling of displeasure against the former was so sharpened by immediate disappointment, that she could hardly reply with tolerable civility to the polite inquiries which he directly afterwards approached to make.
Pride and Prejudice, p. 100 · B2
“That is not an unnatural surmise,” said Fitzwilliam; “but it is lessening the honour of my cousin’s triumph very sadly.”
Pride and Prejudice, p. 216 · B2
“‘Ah, that is a question that will take some time to answer.’ And with that I sketched out to him the whole long chain of surmise and of proof which I had constructed.
The Memoirs of Sherlock Holmes, p. 27 · B2

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Words, meanings, pronunciations and translations from Wiktionary (CC BY-SA 4.0); how common each word is from wordfreq. Made into this dictionary by FluentPlex.